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Florida's 12th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Bilirakis, 22+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Bilirakis, 19+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Bilirakis, 28+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $95

  • Bilirakis, 25+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $448

  • Bilirakis, 31+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $809 · Liquidity $110

  • Bilirakis, 37+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $56 · Liquidity $22

  • Bilirakis, 34+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $49 · Liquidity $37

  • Bilirakis, 43+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $19

  • Bilirakis, 40+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $7 · Liquidity $1

  • Bilirakis, 10+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Bilirakis, 13+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Bilirakis, 16+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Bilirakis, 1+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Bilirakis, 4+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Bilirakis, 7+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 12th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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