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Florida's 16th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Gruters, 19+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $337 · Liquidity $337

  • Gruters, 7+ pts

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $322.4 · Liquidity $53.4

  • Gruters, 10+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Gruters, 1+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $110 · Liquidity $105

  • Gruters, 13+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $85 · Liquidity $85

  • Gruters, 16+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $67 · Liquidity $67

  • Gruters, 4+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $6.4 · Liquidity $0

  • Gruters, 22+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 16th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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