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Florida's 19th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Schwartzel, 26+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $168 · Liquidity $133

  • Schwartzel, 17+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $152.4 · Liquidity $152.4

  • Schwartzel, 14+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $136.2 · Liquidity $136.2

  • Schwartzel, 32+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $116 · Liquidity $116

  • Schwartzel, 11+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $106 · Liquidity $1

  • Schwartzel, 20+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $45

  • Schwartzel, 23+ pts

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Schwartzel, 8+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schwartzel, 29+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schwartzel, 35+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 19th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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