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Florida's 27th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Salazar, 3+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $881.3 · Liquidity $426.3

  • Salazar, 6+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $366.1 · Liquidity $305

  • Salazar, 9+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Salazar, 12+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Salazar, 15+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Salazar, 1+ pts

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 27th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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