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Iowa's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Bohannan, 15+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $249

  • Bohannan, 6+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $270.5

  • Bohannan, 3+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $515.8 · Liquidity $473

  • Bohannan, 12+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $457.7 · Liquidity $417.7

  • Bohannan, 9+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $219 · Liquidity $210.6

  • Bohannan, 18+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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