Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
Markets
James, 1+ pts
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $335
James, 7+ pts
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $221
James, 4+ pts
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $436.4
James, 10+ pts
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $151.8
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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