Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory
Markets
Garriott, 2+ pts
- Yes73%
- No27%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $686.6
Garriott, 11+ pts
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $354
Garriott, 14+ pts
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $146
Garriott, 5+ pts
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $678.4 · Liquidity $558.6
Garriott, 8+ pts
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $57 · Liquidity $57
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 3rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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