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Idaho's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Simpson, 30+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $288.4 · Liquidity $288.4

  • Simpson, 33+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $210

  • Simpson, 24+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Simpson, 27+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Simpson, 9+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Simpson, 12+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Simpson, 15+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No31%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Simpson, 18+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Simpson, 21+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Idaho's 2nd District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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