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Illinois's 14th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Underwood, 29+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $254

  • Underwood, 5+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $289 · Liquidity $245

  • Underwood, 14+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $249.4 · Liquidity $249.4

  • Underwood, 17+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $26 · Liquidity $26

  • Underwood, 8+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No17%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Underwood, 11+ pts

    • Yes74%
    • No27%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Underwood, 20+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Underwood, 23+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No68%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Underwood, 26+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No79%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 14th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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