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Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

Markets

  • LaHood, 24+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $764 · Liquidity $764

  • LaHood, 18+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $760.5 · Liquidity $260.5

  • LaHood, 21+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $555 · Liquidity $155

  • LaHood, 15+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $545 · Liquidity $145

  • LaHood, 27+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $283.3 · Liquidity $283.3

  • LaHood, 30+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $213 · Liquidity $150

  • LaHood, 9+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $150 · Liquidity $150

  • LaHood, 6+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $69.4 · Liquidity $69.4

  • LaHood, 12+ pts

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 16th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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