Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Illinois Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Stratton, 17+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $716 · Liquidity $109

  • Stratton, 29+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Stratton, 19+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Stratton, 13+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $62.1 · Liquidity $62.1

  • Stratton, 15+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $39.3 · Liquidity $39.3

  • Stratton, 21+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $10.1 · Liquidity $10.1

  • Stratton, 9+ pts

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Stratton, 11+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Stratton, 31+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

  • Stratton, 23+ pts

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • Stratton, 25+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Stratton, 27+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Illinois by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets