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Indiana's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Mrvan, 9+ pts

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $446

  • Mrvan, 18+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $643.5 · Liquidity $336

  • Mrvan, 24+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $465 · Liquidity $460

  • Mrvan, 21+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $368 · Liquidity $363

  • Mrvan, 6+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $345 · Liquidity $305

  • Mrvan, 15+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $332 · Liquidity $186

  • Mrvan, 3+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mrvan, 12+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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