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Indiana's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Spartz, 1+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $161

  • Spartz, 7+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $190.7

  • Spartz, 4+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $196

  • Spartz, 16+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $55

  • Spartz, 10+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $284.8

  • Spartz, 13+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $280.2

  • Spartz, 19+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $710 · Liquidity $130

  • Spartz, 25+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $539.3 · Liquidity $118

  • Spartz, 22+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $92 · Liquidity $92

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 5th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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