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Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Schmidt, 1+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $50

  • Schmidt, 13+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $160

  • Schmidt, 4+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $131

  • Schmidt, 7+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $780 · Liquidity $100

  • Schmidt, 10+ pts

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $272.6 · Liquidity $205

  • Schmidt, 19+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $35 · Liquidity $35

  • Schmidt, 22+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $33 · Liquidity $33

  • Schmidt, 25+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Schmidt, 16+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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