Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory
Markets
Republicans, 42+ pts
- Yes37%
- No63%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $2.5K
Republicans, 39+ pts
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $2.9K
Republicans, 36+ pts
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.5K
Republicans, 63+ pts
- Yes37%
- No63%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.8K
Republicans, 30+ pts
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $901
Republicans, 51+ pts
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.2K
Republicans, 33+ pts
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $910
Republicans, 21+ pts
- Yes88%
- No12%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $300
Republicans, 24+ pts
- Yes68%
- No32%
Volume $922 · Liquidity $443
Republicans, 18+ pts
- Yes94%
- No6%
Volume $910 · Liquidity $50
Republicans, 45+ pts
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $722.1 · Liquidity $313.1
Republicans, 48+ pts
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $530.1 · Liquidity $330.1
Republicans, 27+ pts
- Yes72%
- No28%
Volume $350.8 · Liquidity $265
Republicans, 54+ pts
- Yes38%
- No62%
Volume $174 · Liquidity $174
Republicans, 60+ pts
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Republicans, 9+ pts
- Yes93%
- No7%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Republicans, 12+ pts
- Yes93%
- No7%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Republicans, 15+ pts
- Yes92%
- No8%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Republicans, 57+ pts
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 5th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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