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Michigan's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Scholten, 22+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Scholten, 25+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Scholten, 10+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $800 · Liquidity $800

  • Scholten, 13+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $800 · Liquidity $800

  • Scholten, 16+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $730 · Liquidity $715

  • Scholten, 19+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $604 · Liquidity $604

  • Scholten, 4+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Scholten, 7+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Scholten, 28+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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