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Michigan's 8th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Rivet, 2+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $230

  • Rivet, 11+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $900

  • Rivet, 23+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $520 · Liquidity $520

  • Rivet, 8+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $511.4 · Liquidity $511.4

  • Rivet, 20+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $225 · Liquidity $225

  • Rivet, 17+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $90.2 · Liquidity $89.2

  • Rivet, 14+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $61.2 · Liquidity $6

  • Rivet, 5+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rivet, 26+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 8th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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