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Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Finstad, 7+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Finstad, 1+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $951

  • Finstad, 4+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $821.7

  • Finstad, 10+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $911 · Liquidity $501

  • Finstad, 16+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $320 · Liquidity $200

  • Finstad, 13+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $267 · Liquidity $200

  • Finstad, 19+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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