Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Forstag, 3+ pts
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.1K
Forstag, 9+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $416
Forstag, 6+ pts
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $565.5
Forstag, 1+ pts
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $224 · Liquidity $213.3
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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