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North Carolina's 8th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Harris, 14+ pts

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1K

  • Harris, 11+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $200

  • Harris, 8+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $400

  • Harris, 17+ pts

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $635 · Liquidity $585

  • Harris, 5+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $575 · Liquidity $459.6

  • Harris, 20+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $500.8 · Liquidity $500.8

  • Harris, 2+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Harris, 23+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Harris, 26+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 8th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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