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North Carolina's 13th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Knott, 21+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Knott, 18+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $169 · Liquidity $169

  • Knott, 9+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Knott, 15+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $77 · Liquidity $77

  • Knott, 3+ pts

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $18.3

  • Knott, 6+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Knott, 12+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Knott, 24+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 13th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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