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North Carolina's 14th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Moore, 16+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • Moore, 19+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Moore, 7+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Moore, 4+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $65 · Liquidity $55

  • Moore, 25+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $52 · Liquidity $9

  • Moore, 1+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Moore, 13+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Moore, 22+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Moore, 10+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 14th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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