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Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Flood, 12+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $250

  • Flood, 18+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $221

  • Flood, 9+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $310.7

  • Flood, 6+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $298.4 · Liquidity $207.4

  • Flood, 15+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Flood, 3+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $56.5 · Liquidity $47

  • Flood, 21+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $40 · Liquidity $40

  • Flood, 24+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Flood, 1+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No25%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nebraska's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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