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New Hampshire Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Ayotte, 2+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Ayotte, 11+ pts

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $600.7

  • Ayotte, 14+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Ayotte, 8+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $595.1

  • Ayotte, 23+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $780 · Liquidity $237.5

  • Ayotte, 5+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $368 · Liquidity $261

  • Ayotte, 17+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $217 · Liquidity $207

  • Ayotte, 20+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $100

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Hampshire by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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