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New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Drew, 18+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $549.8

  • Drew, 9+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $324

  • Drew, 3+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $407

  • Drew, 6+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $930.2

  • Drew, 12+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $524.4 · Liquidity $274.4

  • Drew, 21+ pts

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $102.1 · Liquidity $100.1

  • Drew, 1+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Drew, 15+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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