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New Jersey's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Conaway, 15+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $300 · Liquidity $300

  • Conaway, 30+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $157 · Liquidity $156

  • Conaway, 24+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $39.4 · Liquidity $39.4

  • Conaway, 6+ pts

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Conaway, 9+ pts

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Conaway, 12+ pts

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Conaway, 18+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Conaway, 21+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Conaway, 27+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Conaway, 33+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Conaway, 36+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 3rd District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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