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New Jersey's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Gottheimer, 25+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $870.1 · Liquidity $642

  • Gottheimer, 10+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $600 · Liquidity $600

  • Gottheimer, 28+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $308 · Liquidity $296

  • Gottheimer, 19+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $39.1 · Liquidity $39.1

  • Gottheimer, 34+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $35 · Liquidity $35

  • Gottheimer, 7+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $8 · Liquidity $5

  • Gottheimer, 4+ pts

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gottheimer, 13+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gottheimer, 16+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gottheimer, 22+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gottheimer, 31+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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