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New Jersey's 11th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Mejia, 32+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $20

  • Mejia, 8+ pts

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $3

  • Mejia, 11+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mejia, 14+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mejia, 17+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mejia, 20+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mejia, 23+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mejia, 26+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mejia, 29+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 11th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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