New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
Markets
Vasquez, 13+ pts
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $961
Vasquez, 19+ pts
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $276
Vasquez, 4+ pts
- Yes65%
- No35%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $563
Vasquez, 25+ pts
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $997.2 · Liquidity $248
Vasquez, 22+ pts
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $987 · Liquidity $112
Vasquez, 10+ pts
- Yes57%
- No43%
Volume $917 · Liquidity $425.8
Vasquez, 16+ pts
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $880 · Liquidity $354
Vasquez, 1+ pts
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volume $573 · Liquidity $350
Vasquez, 7+ pts
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $523.2 · Liquidity $452
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Mexico's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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