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New Mexico Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Haaland, 10+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $666.2

  • Haaland, 7+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $546.5 · Liquidity $471.1

  • Haaland, 13+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $486 · Liquidity $194

  • Haaland, 16+ pts

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $468.8 · Liquidity $201

  • Haaland, 22+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $301 · Liquidity $1

  • Haaland, 19+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $300 · Liquidity $0

  • Haaland, 25+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $202 · Liquidity $201

  • Haaland, 1+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $76 · Liquidity $62

  • Haaland, 4+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $60 · Liquidity $55

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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