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New York's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Garbarino, 7+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $485.2

  • Garbarino, 10+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $434.3

  • Garbarino, 13+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $679 · Liquidity $610

  • Garbarino, 1+ pts

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $627.1 · Liquidity $627.1

  • Garbarino, 4+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $205

  • Garbarino, 19+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $24.4 · Liquidity $24.4

  • Garbarino, 16+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $20

  • Garbarino, 22+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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