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New York's 11th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Malliotakis, 15+ pts

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $750 · Liquidity $705

  • Malliotakis, 12+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $420 · Liquidity $410

  • Malliotakis, 30+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $130 · Liquidity $26

  • Malliotakis, 6+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $48.2 · Liquidity $48.2

  • Malliotakis, 9+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $45

  • Malliotakis, 21+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $20

  • Malliotakis, 27+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Malliotakis, 18+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Malliotakis, 24+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 11th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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