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Ohio's 8th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Davidson, 17+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $408.4 · Liquidity $400.4

  • Davidson, 20+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $102.1 · Liquidity $102.1

  • Davidson, 11+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $25 · Liquidity $25

  • Davidson, 23+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Davidson, 26+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Davidson, 2+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Davidson, 5+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No28%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Davidson, 8+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Davidson, 14+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 8th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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