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Ohio's 15th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Carey, 8+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $301.2 · Liquidity $301.2

  • Carey, 11+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $225 · Liquidity $225

  • Carey, 2+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $172.4 · Liquidity $172.4

  • Carey, 5+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $141.7 · Liquidity $100

  • Carey, 20+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Carey, 14+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Carey, 17+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 15th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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