Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $792.7
Fitzpatrick, 8+ pts
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $641
Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $131
Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $980.7 · Liquidity $336
Fitzpatrick, 14+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $406 · Liquidity $128
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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