Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
Markets
Bresnahan, 7+ pts
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $448
Bresnahan, 4+ pts
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $604
Bresnahan, 1+ pts
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $635.3 · Liquidity $617
Bresnahan, 10+ pts
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $3 · Liquidity $1
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 8th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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