South Dakota Governor margin of victory
Markets
Rhoden, 12+ pts
- Yes75%
- No25%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $790.3
Rhoden, 27+ pts
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $700 · Liquidity $300
Rhoden, 15+ pts
- Yes72%
- No28%
Volume $500 · Liquidity $300
Rhoden, 18+ pts
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $256.4 · Liquidity $250
Rhoden, 24+ pts
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $213 · Liquidity $200
Rhoden, 30+ pts
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $142.4 · Liquidity $142.4
Rhoden, 21+ pts
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $100 · Liquidity $100
Rhoden, 6+ pts
- Yes89%
- No11%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Rhoden, 9+ pts
- Yes79%
- No21%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Rhoden, 33+ pts
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Rhoden, 36+ pts
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Dakota by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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