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Tennessee Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Hagerty, 24+ pts

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Hagerty, 16+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $489.2

  • Hagerty, 20+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Hagerty, 14+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $923.9 · Liquidity $810

  • Hagerty, 22+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $583 · Liquidity $489

  • Hagerty, 28+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $556 · Liquidity $156

  • Hagerty, 18+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $416.3 · Liquidity $416.3

  • Hagerty, 8+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $408 · Liquidity $408

  • Hagerty, 10+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $200

  • Hagerty, 26+ pts

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $152 · Liquidity $152

  • Hagerty, 12+ pts

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $5

  • Hagerty, 30+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $7.1 · Liquidity $6.1

  • Hagerty, 4+ pts

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hagerty, 6+ pts

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hagerty, 32+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hagerty, 34+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hagerty, 36+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tennessee by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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