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Texas's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Self, 13+ pts

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $698 · Liquidity $693

  • Self, 25+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $561.5 · Liquidity $490.5

  • Self, 10+ pts

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $464.9 · Liquidity $459.9

  • Self, 19+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Self, 22+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Self, 16+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $135.7 · Liquidity $135.7

  • Self, 28+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $28 · Liquidity $28

  • Self, 7+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $11.9 · Liquidity $11.9

  • Self, 4+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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