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Texas's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Gooden, 8+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $400

  • Gooden, 20+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $340.4 · Liquidity $340.4

  • Gooden, 26+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $260 · Liquidity $260

  • Gooden, 14+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $212 · Liquidity $105

  • Gooden, 5+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Gooden, 11+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Gooden, 23+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

  • Gooden, 2+ pts

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gooden, 17+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gooden, 29+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 5th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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