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Texas's 8th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Steinmann, 27+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • Steinmann, 33+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $383 · Liquidity $205

  • Steinmann, 30+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $207.9 · Liquidity $207.9

  • Steinmann, 21+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Steinmann, 15+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $20

  • Steinmann, 12+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $11.8 · Liquidity $11.8

  • Steinmann, 9+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Steinmann, 18+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Steinmann, 24+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 8th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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