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Texas's 10th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Gober, 15+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $202.4 · Liquidity $202.4

  • Gober, 21+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Gober, 9+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $148 · Liquidity $148

  • Gober, 12+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $17 · Liquidity $17

  • Gober, 6+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $12.9 · Liquidity $12.9

  • Gober, 27+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Gober, 18+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gober, 24+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gober, 3+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 10th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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