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Texas's 21st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Teixeira, 21+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $409 · Liquidity $409

  • Teixeira, 24+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Teixeira, 9+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $148 · Liquidity $148

  • Teixeira, 12+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $17 · Liquidity $17

  • Teixeira, 6+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $13.4 · Liquidity $13.4

  • Teixeira, 1+ pts

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Teixeira, 3+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Teixeira, 15+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Teixeira, 18+ pts

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Teixeira, 27+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 21st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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