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Texas's 24th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Duyne, 12+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $744.6 · Liquidity $738.9

  • Duyne, 21+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $674 · Liquidity $194

  • Duyne, 15+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $668.6 · Liquidity $668.6

  • Duyne, 3+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $500

  • Duyne, 9+ pts

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $279.1 · Liquidity $207.6

  • Duyne, 18+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Duyne, 6+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $63.2 · Liquidity $63.2

  • Duyne, 24+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Duyne, 1+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 24th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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