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Texas's 36th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Babin, 24+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $661 · Liquidity $600

  • Babin, 18+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $659.7 · Liquidity $559.7

  • Babin, 21+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $315 · Liquidity $235

  • Babin, 30+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $140 · Liquidity $120

  • Babin, 27+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $53.7 · Liquidity $53.7

  • Babin, 6+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Babin, 12+ pts

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Babin, 9+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Babin, 15+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 36th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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