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Virginia's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Taylor, 4+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $700.2 · Liquidity $580.2

  • Taylor, 1+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $420.8 · Liquidity $307.9

  • Taylor, 7+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Taylor, 10+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $35 · Liquidity $35

  • Taylor, 19+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $4.5 · Liquidity $2.7

  • Taylor, 13+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Taylor, 16+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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