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Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Perriello, 3+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $747.8

  • Perriello, 6+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • Perriello, 9+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Perriello, 21+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Perriello, 12+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Perriello, 15+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Perriello, 18+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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