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Virginia Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Warner, 21+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $532.5

  • Warner, 19+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $430.8 · Liquidity $430.7

  • Warner, 11+ pts

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $226.6 · Liquidity $226.6

  • Warner, 15+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Warner, 25+ pts

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Warner, 17+ pts

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $17.3 · Liquidity $17.3

  • Warner, 27+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Warner, 7+ pts

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Warner, 9+ pts

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Warner, 13+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Warner, 23+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No60%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Warner, 29+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Warner, 31+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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