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Washington's 8th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Schrier, 11+ pts

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Schrier, 8+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Schrier, 5+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schrier, 14+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schrier, 17+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No53%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schrier, 20+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schrier, 23+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schrier, 26+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Schrier, 29+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 8th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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