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Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Steil, 5+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1K

  • Steil, 8+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $530.8 · Liquidity $530.8

  • Steil, 2+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $515.3 · Liquidity $511.3

  • Steil, 11+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Steil, 17+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Steil, 14+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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